Tuesday, November 11, 2014

Morning Call | 11 November 2014


FLOWS
Tuesday, 11 November, 2014
BUY
SKPETRO, IOIPG, TENAGA
SELL
PBBANK, SIME, DIGI
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
SUNWAY (5211)
11/11/2014
RM3.19
ACCUMULATE
RM3.70
Share price of the stock retraced 10% after peaking at RM3.56 following a 5 cent dividend payment as well as GIC (SG sovereign fund)’s exit which saw their 8.7% stake get snapped up mostly by GLC’s at the price of RM3.20-RM3.30. Hence, we think it’s a safe level to accumulate the stock on its recent weakness as we look forward to its listing of its construction arm in 2Q15. The listing of SCG is a strategic move for the group to unlock Sunway Construction Group’s (SCG) value and at the same time offer Sunway’s shareholders a flexibility option (special div with option to take up its 10-1 distribution in specie that would seemingly translate into a 6.0% yield from the exercise). We also recommend taking up the SCG shares ( currently 14x PE) as its prospect remain attractive with RM3.4bil construction orderbook as of End July and looks to secure more jobs from MRT lines, LRT as well as more internal jobs from Sunway itself. Technical chart is poised for a rebound as we see the MACD diverge and the SMA 14/25/50 consolidate while the share price sit just above the 100 days SMA. Accumulate on weakness.
(RL)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
BJAUTO(5248)  
11/11/2014
RM3.25
ACCUMULATE
RM4.00
Share price peaked at RM3.74 and have fallen to current levels after the sharp run up from our call (5/9/2014). We believe that the sell down was mainly due to technical and we propose investors accumulate on weakness as the stock offers a decent growth prospect (3 year CAGR of 30-37% along with 10-12% Ebitda margins) coupled with the falling Jap yen (which accounts for 50-60% of COGS of imported parts). Fundamental still intact as it plans to launch more models cum 1H2015 (mazda 3 CKD, Mazda 2, Mazda CX5). While Mazda has established an impressive market share in the Philippines, the group plans to replicate its success by venturing into the Indonesia market moving forward. We propose a step buying method around these levels until the share price consolidates and find a new base. Immediate support seen at RM3.20 and RM3.15. ACCUMULATE with a TP of RM4.00 based on 12x FY 15 PE vs peers of 12.4x.  
(RL)
 
 
Calls for OCT WEEK 4 / NOV WEEK 1 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
SALCON (8567)
3/11/2014
RM0.74
TRADING BUY
RM0.82
RM0.76
+2.7%
GTRONIC (7022) 
3/11/2014
RM4.52
TRADING BUY
RM4.99
RM4.55
+0.6%
SOP (5126)
4/11/2014
RM5.75
ACCUMULATE on weakness
RM6.20
RM5.71
-0.7%
MMCCORP (2194) 
4/11/2014
RM2.58
BUY – closer to RM2.30
RM2.80
RM2.45
-5.1%
PARKSON (5657)
5/11/2014
RM2.52
BUY
RM3.10
RM2.44
+3.2%
SIME (4197) 
5/11/2014
RM9.68
BUY
RM10.50
RM9.64
-0.5%
KPS (5843)
7/11/2014
RM1.75
Take Profit
RM1.58
RM1.62
-7.5%
SKPETRO (5218) 
7/11/2014
RM3.14
BUY
RM3.75
RM3.14
0.0%
E&O(3417)
10/11/2014
RM2.55
ACCUMULATE
RM3.36
RM2.50
-2.0%
KIMLUN (5171) 
10/11/2014
RM1.42
SELL
-
RM1.42
0.0%

 


Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral