Wednesday, August 12, 2015

Morning Call | 12 August 2015


FLOWS
Wednesday, 12 August, 2015
BUY
DIALOG,
SELL
PCHEM, TOPGLOV, TENAGA
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
KLK (2445)
12/08/2015
RM21.48
TRIM
-
CPO px broke below double top neckline 2070 the last 2 days, targeting downside of 1778-1740. Dorab Mistry recently forecasted CPO px at 1900 on exp jump in inventories as pdtn increase seasonally towards its annual peak in Sept/Oct. Substitutes like soybean oil is also languishing @ USD30.47/lb (dwn 17% yoy). The devaluation of CNY implies a softer economy than earlier exp, which is bearish for commodities. KLK, trading at premium valuations (forward PER of 24.5x vs 5-yr average of 18,4x), is particularly vulnerable in the next 2-3 reporting seasons. Reduce exposure
(PT)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
PPB (4065)
12/08/2015
RM15.32
TRIM
-
Daily & weekly macd are on the verge of forming a dead cross, coupled with lower CPO prices ahead, sugar prices -43% yoy & seasonally lower 1H15 profit as already seen in Wilmar’s 1H15 results announced last week, we advocate to trim at current levels or switch to Wilmar which contributes the bulk of PPB earnings & trade at cheaper valuations (PPB forward PER & P/B 18.3x & 1.03x vs Wilmar’s 11.1x & 0.85x).
(PT)
 
 
 
Calls for  AUGUST WEEK 1/ WEEK 2 2015
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
LUXCHEM (5143)
04/08/2015
RM1.16
BUY
RM1.35
RM1.14
-1.8%
LAFMSIA (3794) 
04/08/2015
RM9.76
TRIM
-
RM9.02
-7.6%
SUPERMX (7106)
05/08/2015
RM2.46
TAKE PROFIT
RM2.05
RM2.15
-12.7%
PARAMON (1724) 
05/08/2015
RM1.93
ACCUMULATE
RM2.50
RM1.76
-8.9%
KAREX (5247)
07/08/2015
RM3.55
TAKE PROFIT
BB RM - 3.10
RM3.36
-5.4%
HOVID (7213)
07/08/2015
RM0.485
BUY
RM0.555
RM0.45
-7.3%
PESTECH (5219)
10/08/2015
RM5.91
TAKE PROFIT
BB RM – 5.26
RM5.68
-3.9%
GENTING (3182)
10/08/2015
RM7.98
SELL
BB – RM7.20
RM7.76
-2.8%
PCHEM (5183)
11/08/2015
RM6.01
TRIM
BB RM – 5.30
RM5.98
-0.5%
SCIENTEX (4731)
11/08/2015
RM7.20
TRIM
BB – RM6.60
RM7.10
-1.4%

 

 

PERFORMANCE ALERT
STOCK
Initiation dates
Initiation price
Target Price
Action
Returns
TOPGLOV (7113)
08/06/2015
RM5.47
-
Trading Sell
-
XINHWA (5267)
03/08/2015
RM1.03
1.20
BB
-

 

Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral