Thursday, October 4, 2012

Market Roundup | 3 Oct 2012

FBM30 1649.75    -1.28 points (-0.08%)   Volume 864.8mil   Value     1,744mil      
1) KLCI fell to a low of 1640.44pts by midday as plantation names came under selling pressure following recent weakness in CPO prices. However index managed to claw back its losses paced by gains in Telcos. Regionals were mixed after Chinese services industries expanded at the weakest pace since at least March 2011. Market breadth turned negative with decliners outpacing advancers 434:295. Futures closed 1649.5pts (parity).
 
2) Heavyweights: SIME-3.39% RM9.09, KLK-5.17% RM20.90, IOICORP-0.8% RM4.97, DIGI+2.82% RM5.47, TENAGA+1.46% RM6.95, AXIATA+0.76% RM6.67, TM+1.62% RM6.28, PETGAS+1.65% RM19.74,
 
3) DBT: DIALOG 10mil @ RM2.31, BAHVEST 8.3mil @ RM0.60, KOSSAN 2.4mil @ RM3.03
4) Situationals: 
ADVENTA+4.47% RM1.87: Glove maker Adventa had received a takeover offer from Aspion in July where Adventa would dispose its assets and liabilities for RM320.9mil or RM2.10 per share. Today, group has proposed a distribution of RM1.70 per share by means of RM1.30 special dividend and proposed capital reduction and repayment of 40 sens.
 
5) GW Plastic 
Received an expression of interest from Scientex Berhad to acquire the business and undertaking of GW Plastics via Scientex Packaging, a wholly owned subsidiary of Scientex . The sale involves  88,004,400 ordinary shares of RM1.00 each in GWPI, representing 100% equity interest in GWPI interest in GW Flexible Packaging Sdn Bhd; and  6,000,002 ordinary shares of RM1.00 each in GW Packaging, representing 100% equity interest in GW Packaging to Scientex Packaging for an aggregate sale consideration of RM283.20 million. 
The Disposal Consideration is equivalent to approximately RM1.20 per share or a price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 14.49 times based on the audited net EPS of 8.28 sen for FYE 31 December 2011; and a price-to-book ratio of approximately 1.41 times based on the audited net assets per share as at 31 December 2011 of 0.85. 
Tentatively, it is estimated cash amount to be returned to the entitled shareholders under the Proposed Distribution will be approximately RM1.19 for every one (1) GW PlasticsShare (after excluding Treasury Shares and deducting estimated expenses of RM2.0 million). After the distribution, GW Plastics shall apply to Bursa Securities to be delisted from the Main Market of Bursa Securities. 
The offer price is a premium of 10% over the last traded price of RM1.08. Based on the PE multiple of 14.5x which is approximately around the sector average we deem this offer fair especially taking into account the illiquid nature of the company.
 
6) Market - As we highlighted yesterday, we expect the Plantation sector to continue to draw the most interest in the market with most analyst likely to adjust full year forecast results which could imply lower target valuations especially if this downtrend in CPO px are not just a seasonal phenomenon. With this major overhang, it is unlikely the KLCI can scale a new high above the 1655pt high achieved in early Sept.