Friday, October 19, 2012

Morning Call | 19 Oct 2012


FLOWS
Friday, 19 October, 2012
BUY
MAXIS, IJM, MAS
SELL
GENM, TENAGA, KNM, ASTRO
Stock Alert
STOCK
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LIONIND (4235)
19/10/2012
RM1.10
Strong BUY
MT RM1.70
The company managed to post EBITA positive numbers for its final qtr 2012 of RM34.9m despite the challenging conditions which could indicate a bottoming of the steel cycle. FYE June 2013 should record better numbers for their long steel products as the are said to have prequalified as one of the key suppliers for the Sg Buloh-Kepong MRT line. Current price of the stock is attractive also on the basis of asset valuation as strategic stakes in listed entities, Parkson Msia (17%), Lion Forest (72%), Lion Diversified (21%), Lion Corp (19%) at current market value totals RM1.198bn or RM1.66/share. It is also trading at three year low levels in terms of price to book of 0.25x. Talks of disposing part of the Lion Group's steel assets to a foreign strategic partner are apparently still on going and could be the key catalyst in helping unlocking the hidden value in the company. Strong BUY with an immediate target of RM1.28 and a medium term target of RM1.70 or 0.4x Px/Bk.
 
FAVCO (7229)
19/10/2012
RM1.63
Trading BUY
RM1.81
FAVCO (RM1.63): recent interest in o&g stks may spill over into related names especially for specialized services like cranes. Expect demand for cranes to receive a boost with anticipated increased orderflow in the 2H. Volume for stk picked up recently backed by strong accumulation activity especially with MACD, RSI at oversold lvls. Sitting on OB RM700m with fatter margins (11-20%) versus construction (3-5%) and provides direct exposure to sector rather than via major s/h Muhibah (owns 62%) which is bogged down by APH problems. Trades at attractive PER 7x - Trading Buy.
 
 
 
Calls for OCT Week 2 / Week 3
STOCK
Initiation Dates
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
NAIM (5073)
12/10/2012
RM1.80
LT Accumulate
RM2.02
RM1.91
7.7%
YTL (4677)
12/10/2012
RM1.74
Mid Term BUY
RM1.92
RM1.76
1.1%
REDTONE (0032)
15/10/2012
RM0.395
Trading BUY
RM0.50
RM0.395
0.00%
3A (0012)
15/10/2012
RM1.10
ST BUY
RM1.25
RM1.22
10.9%
DRBHICOM (1619)
16/10/2012
RM2.38
Trading BUY
RM2.60
RM2.37
0.4%
SILKHLD (5078)
16/10/2012
RM0.35
Trading BUY
RM0.41
RM0.380
8.5%
FITTERS (9318)
17/10/2012
RM0.685
Trading BUY
RM0.80
RM0.69
0.8%
MRCB (1651)
17/10/2012
RM1.68
Accumulate
RM1.90
RM1.68
0.00%
MAYBULK (5077)
18/10/2012
RM1.44
Trading BUY
RM1.60
RM1.41
-2.12%
PADINI (7052)
18/10/2012
RM1.89
Accumulate
RM2.10
RM2.03
7.4%