Wednesday, October 24, 2012

Morning Call | 24 Oct 2012


FLOWS
Wednesday, 24 October, 2012
BUY
ASTRO, TM
SELL
TNB, SIME, MAYBANK
Stock Alert
STOCK
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
SCABLE (5170)
24/10/2012
RM1.69
BUY
RM2.20
SCable RM1.69 : stk has jumped some 19% over the last 5 trading days after consolidating around RM1.55lvls. But has since retraced 5% yesterday. Co is in the midst of transforming from a pure cable & wire manufacturer into a one-stop centre, which will enable it to access the power transmission industry’s value chain and to tap into SCORE’s immense potential. The proposed acquisition of a 100% stake in Trenergy (EPC contractor for transmission lines) and buying out Sarwaja Timur ( fabrication of transmission towers & other steel products)  - targeted for end 2012 - will transform the group into an integrated transmission line specialist. We see rising contract momentum for SCable in the short term especially from SCORE. Co also expects a new income stream from mini-hydro power generation starting 2014 via 65% owned PT Inpola Mitra Elektrindo. Major s/h: Sarawak Energy 21.5%, Bekir Taib Mahmud 19.3%, Leader Universal 15.5%. Trading at just below 8x for FY12/13, and a likely frontrunner & able to ride of the full value chain for any power transmission project in Sarawak - BUY.
(AK)
 
 
FABER (1368)
24/10/2012
RM1.49
Trading Buy
RM1.72
2) Faber RM1.49 : The share price has broken above the 100SMA on Oct 18 & has since reached RM1.54. Despite there being no conclusive outcome on its concession renewal, we see that the market has started to price in a higher possibility of it getting the concessions renewed. We continue to believe that the chance of renewal is high based on Co’s sound track record with the government as well as the drive from its major shareholder Khazanah Nasional ( 34% stake). There is also now a potential for synergies at shareholders level, with Khazanah also owning a 45% stake in IHH. A possibility of the 2 parties creating synergies in the future can’t be ruled out. With a potential payout ratio of 40%, will translate to a net yield of about 5% in FY13. Co is currently one of the cheapest healthcare stock listed on the KLSE, at 8.5x FY12 PER, P:B 1.x and 30% disc to SOP of RM2.16 – Trading Buy. (AK)
 
 
 
 
Calls for OCT Week 3 / Week 4
STOCK
Initiation Dates
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
FITTERS (9318)
17/10/2012
RM0.685
Trading BUY
RM0.80
RM0.680
-0.07%
MRCB (1651)
17/10/2012
RM1.68
Accumulate
RM1.90
RM1.68
0.00%
MAYBULK (5077)
18/10/2012
RM1.44
Trading BUY
RM1.60
RM1.39
-3.59%
PADINI (7052)
18/10/2012
RM1.89
Accumulate
RM2.10
RM1.98
4.7%
LIONIND (4235)
19/10/2012
RM1.10
Strong BUY
Mid - RM1.70
RM1.07
0%
FAVCO (7229)
19/10/2012
RM1.63
Trading BUY
RM1.81
RM1.63
0%
SUNWAY (5211)
22/10/2012
RM2.32
Trading BUY
RM2.60
RM2.31
-0.4%
HAIO (7668)
22/10/2012
RM2.18
BUY
RM2.50
RM2.24
2.7%
ARMADA (5210)
23/10/2012
RM3.70
BUY
RM4.20
RM3.70
0.00%
PMETAL (8869)
23/10/2012
RM1.75
Trading BUY
RM1.91
RM1.73
1.15%