Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Morning Call | 23 Oct 2012

FLOWS
Tuesday, 23 October, 2012
BUY
GENTING, TM, PERDANA
SELL
TNB, SIME, AXIATA
Stock Alert
STOCK
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
ARMADA (5210)
23/10/2012
RM3.70
BUY
RM4.20
ARMADA (RM3.70) – we are revisiting Armada as we feel after a long consolidation over the past four months that have tested investors patience, the timing is now right for a possible move above its immediate resistance level of RM3.75 which coincides with its SMA 50 levels. FPSO contracts which are the bread and butter of the company’s business could finally start to flow with a strong chance of securing ONGC (India) requirement for Cluster 7. It is also well positioned to capitalize on Petronas Carigali’s invitation to bid for the supply of 34 vessels valued at RM3.2bn as Armada has the largest fleet of 46 vessels with an additional four on order with an option for another four more. Buy with a RM4.20 target price.


PMETAL (8869)
23/10/2012
RM1.75
Trading Buy
RM1.91
PMetal(RM1.75) –  to position for the commercial launch of their Phase 2 expansion plans from Q4 2012, whereby the capacity of the plant will triple to 360,000 tonnes when it is fully commissioned next year. Pmetal is only one of two aluminum smelters operating within the growing Asean market, hence there is little fear of excess capacity. With this expansion, PER will drop from current FY12’s  9.7x to 7.3x in FY13 and 5.4x in FY14 despite a  CAGR of 23% for the next 2-3 years. In addition, there is a potential M&A play with foreign investors taking a stake in the new plant , including Japan’s global player, Sumitomo which already has a 20% stake in Phase 1. Recently, one of the major shareholder cum director exercised 2.6m warrants (with an expiry date only in August 2019) @ RM2.20. This certainly adds credence to the stock. Technically, the stock has also bottomed with positive divergences on their daily charts.
(PT)

Calls for OCT Week 3 / Week 4
STOCK
Initiation Dates
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
DRBHICOM (1619)
16/10/2012
RM2.38
Trading BUY
RM2.60
RM2.37
0.4%
SILKHLD (5078)
16/10/2012
RM0.35
Trading BUY
RM0.41
RM0.365
4.2%
FITTERS (9318)
17/10/2012
RM0.685
Trading BUY
RM0.80
RM0.695
1.44%
MRCB (1651)
17/10/2012
RM1.68
Accumulate
RM1.90
RM1.65
-1.8%
MAYBULK (5077)
18/10/2012
RM1.44
Trading BUY
RM1.60
RM1.42
-1.4%
PADINI (7052)
18/10/2012
RM1.89
Accumulate
RM2.10
RM2.04
7.4%
LIONIND (4235)
19/10/2012
RM1.10
Strong BUY
Mid - RM1.70
RM1.10
0%
FAVCO (7229)
19/10/2012
RM1.63
Trading BUY
RM1.81
RM1.63
0%
SUNWAY (5211)
22/10/2012
RM2.32
Trading BUY
RM2.60
RM2.31
-0.4%
HAIO (7668)
22/10/2012
RM2.18
BUY
RM2.50
RM2.25
3.2%