Thursday, May 14, 2015

Morning Call | 11 May 2015


FLOWS
Monday, 11 May, 2015
BUY
UNISEM, MAYBANK, TENAGA
SELL
INARI, YTL, DIGI
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
AIRASIA (5099)
11/05/2015
RM2.23
ACCUMULATE
RM2.80
​Accumulate AirAsia for a potential catch-up in performance vis-à-vis its peers as global & Asian airline stocks are on average + 11% & + 49% ytd while AirAsia is -18% ytd. This is especially so with more apparent fuel cost savings from 1Q15 onwards given the lower average hedged fuel cost. The recent divestment of non-core assets - 25% stake in AAE Travel & the planned sale of a stake in its leasing arm to realize the value of its fleet of aircraft are also potential catalysts for re-rating of the stock. Valuation is very supportive at current level with FY15 & FY16 PER of 7.9x & 7.1x. (TP: RM2.80)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
UMWOG (5243) 
11/05/2015
RM2.17
ACCUMULATE
RM2.60
Accumulate on weakness to position for a 1-yr investment horizon as share px correction has substantially discounted the negativities of its operating environment. Recent developments in the O&G industry are prompting investors to relook at UMWOG with: 1) the announcements of major O&G players renewing their capex plans in line with higher oil prices; 2) renowned hedge fund mgr, David Eihorn's recent call for shorts on US O&G shale stocks (the global crude swing producers) as their revenues are less than the E&P expd on a DCF basis. This means bankers may question their feasibility & be less willing to finance the shale players, hence the higher crude oil px is sustainable for the medium term with conventional drilling activities picking up.  31/12/14 order book RM1.8b, tender book RM5.4b. (TP: RM2.60)
 
 
Calls for  APRIL WEEK 4 / MAY WEEK 1 2015
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
HSL (6238)
30/04/2015
RM1.84
ACCUMULATE
RM2.12
RM1.78
-3.3%
MATRIX (5236) 
30/04/2015
RM3.16
TRIM
RM2.80
RM3.27
+3.4%
AIRPORT (5014)
05/05/2015
RM6.45
Trading BUY
RM7.25
RM6.38
-1.1%
SUPERMX (7106) 
05/05/2015
RM2.02
BUY
RM2.40
RM1.99
-1.5%
MAXIS (6012)
06/05/2015
RM7.45
TRIM
RM6.60
RM7.02
-5.8%
OCK (0172) 
06/05/2015
RM0.89
ACCUMULATE
RM1.10
RM0.88
-1.2%
MRCB (1651)
07/05/2015
RM1.33
BUY
RM1.80
RM1.33
0.0%
DELEUM (5132) 
07/05/2015
RM1.65
ACCUMULATE
RM1.90
RM1.64
-0.7%
SKPRES (7155)
08/05/2015
RM0.845
TRADING BUY
RM1.00
RM0.945
+11.8%
ECONBHD (5253) 
08/05/2015
RM1.02
TRADING BUY
RM1.22
RM1.04
+2.0%

 

 

PERFORMANCE ALERT
STOCK
Initiation dates
Initiation price
Target Price
Action
Returns
GHLSYS (0021)
31/3/2015
RM0.96
RM1.15
Take Profit
19.7%
MATRIX (5236)
3/4/2015
RM2.73
RM3.12
Take Profit
14.2%
SKPETRO (5218)
15/4/2015
RM2.40
RM2.75
Take profit
14.5%
UNISEM (5005)
22/4/2015
RM2.60
BB – RM2.30
Trading buy
-

 

Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral