Wednesday, May 20, 2015

Morning Call | 20 May 2015


FLOWS
Wednesday, 20 May, 2015
BUY
UMW, MAYBANK, CIMB
SELL
DIGI,  PBBANK, UEMS
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
PMETAL (8869)
20/05/2015
RM2.87
ACCUMULATE
RM3.50
​Recent policy change by China to remove export taxes on certain aluminium products (rods and strips of certain dimensions) has negatively affected short-term share price movement. We feel negativity is unjustified as Co’s global customers would not likely switch to buying Chinese aluminium (international prices are 5% cheaper vs China 3-year average of US2.3k/MT). Furthermore, China’s aluminium supply (24.4m MT) is only sufficient for its own consumption (24.1m MT). Immediate catalyst seen with probable inclusion into the Syariah list by 2H’15 with medium term support from Co’s higher profit margin (16.7% vs 12% industry average) and earnings growth from capacity expansion commencing Jan’16. Trades attractively at 8.2x FY16 PER (vs 23x 5-year average) and 5% dividend yield; Accumulate (TP RM3.50 on 10x FY16). (SPK)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
SALCON (8567) 
20/05/2015
RM0.85
ACCUMULATE
RM1.05
An excellent proxy to capitalize on the impending 11th Malaysia Plan this week especially on water/wastewater and telecommunications expenditure. Co’s growth prospects remain compelling with - 1) RM700m order book and RM2.23b tender book, 2) mixed development projects in Johor (RM1.2b GDV expected launch early 2016) and KL (RM1.3b GDV next to Warisan 118), and last but not least, 3) exclusive rights (via VBT) to lay fibre optic cables along Prasarana’s LRT, BRT and monorail lines over 15 years. We expect Co to have a very good chance in securing leases from the main telcos translating into recurring income moving forward with further expectations of ancillary income from remittances, e-ticketing and e-advertising. An addition of RM15m to Co’s bottom-line is anticipated moving forward, translating into FY16 EPS of 7.9c or 10.8x FY16 PER (vs 15.7x 3-yr average); Accumulate. (TP RM1.05 on 13.3x FY16). (SPK)
 
 
Calls for  MAY WEEK 2 / WEEK 3 2015
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
CMSB (2852)
13/05/2015
RM5.21
TRIM
BB - RM4.80
RM5.42
+4.0%
PARKSON (5657) 
13/05/2015
RM2.15
ACCUMULATE
RM2.50
RM2.08
-3.3%
TITIJYA (5239)
14/05/2015
RM1.80
BUY
RM2.40
RM1.80
0.0%
HOHUP (5169) 
14/05/2015
RM1.35
BUY
RM1.80
RM1.42
+5.1%
UOADEV (5200)
15/05/2015
RM2.29
SELL
RM2.00
RM2.29
0.0%
OLDTOWN (5201) 
15/05/2015
RM1.61
ACCUMULATE
RM1.82
RM1.63
+1.2%
PRESBHD (5204)
18/05/2015
RM2.60
BUY
RM3.14
RM2.65
+1.9%
YTL (4677) 
18/05/2015
RM1.66
TRADING BUY
RM1.82
RM1.66
0.0%
SASBADI (5252)
19/05/2015
RM2.37
TRIM
RM2.10
RM2.25
-5.1%
CHINWEL (5007) 
19/05/2015
RM1.52
ACCUMULATE
RM1.86
RM1.52
0.0%
 
 
PERFORMANCE ALERT
STOCK
Initiation dates
Initiation price
Target Price
Action
Returns
GHLSYS (0021)
31/3/2015
RM0.96
RM1.15
Take Profit
19.7%
MATRIX (5236)
3/4/2015
RM2.73
RM3.12
Take Profit
14.2%
SKPETRO (5218)
15/4/2015
RM2.40
RM2.75
Take profit
14.5%
UNISEM (5005)
22/4/2015
RM2.60
BB – RM2.30
Trading buy
-
SKPRES (7155)
8/5/2015
RM0.845
RM1.00
Take profit
19.5%
ECONBHD (5253)
8/5/2015
RM1.02
RM1.22
Trading sell
12.7%
EDUSPEC (0107)
12/5/2015
RM0.37
RM0.42
Trading sell
8.1%
 
Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral