FLOWS
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Friday, 2 October, 2015
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BUY
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WPRTS,
RHBCAP
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SELL
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AXIATA,
AIRPORT
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STOCK ALERT
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STOCK NAME
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DATE
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PRICE
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BUY/SELL
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TARGET PRICE
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IOICORP (1961)
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02/10/2015
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RM4.40
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TRIM
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-
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IOI
(RM4.40) – the ramp up in px which is either short-covering or quarterly
rebalancing is an opportunity to fade this rally with IOI retracing 50% of
its plunge from its all-time high & being overbought with rsi of
71%. IOI may not benefit from higher CPO prices as 75% of its plantation
landbank in Sabah & Kalimantan, where the yield has been
the worst hit by the drier-than-normal weather. Its 31%
associate, Bumitama, also has 98% of its plantation land in Kalimantan. With
the weakness of the MYR, its USD1.48b borrowings is also a concern. Valuation
is expensive with forward PER of 25.9x vs 5-year average of 15.5x. Trim
(PT)
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GASMSIA (5209)
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02/10/2015
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RM2.48
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TRIM
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-
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GasMsia
(GMB) RM2.48 - staged against challenging fundamentals with the
implementation of the Incentive-based regulation as early as Jan’16, GMB’s
ROE may fall from the current 13% to <10%, yet it has rebounded sharply by
28% over the past month to the current formidable resistance band of
2.44 - 2.48. This band used to be a strong support which held its
previous corrections for the 1st 7 months of the year before
breaking down in Aug'15. Trading at premium valuation of 24x PER vs 5-year
average of 21x coupled with negative to flat earnings growth for the next 3
forward FYs, the current rally is an opportunity to reduce exposure.
(PT)
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Calls for SEPT WEEK 4 OCT WEEK 1 2015
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STOCK
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Initiation Dates
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Initiation price
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BUY/SELL
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TARGET PRICE
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LAST PRICE
|
% Change
since Initiated
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IOIPG (5249)
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25/09/2015
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RM1.89
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SELL
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1.60
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RM1.99
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+5.2%
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QL (7084)
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25/09/2015
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RM4.01
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TRIM
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-
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RM4.00
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-0.3%
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UMWOG (5243)
|
28/09/2015
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RM1.30
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TRIM
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1.05
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RM1.17
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-10.0%
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MMC (2194)
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28/09/2015
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RM2.15
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SELL
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RM1.80
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RM2.15
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0.0%
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HARTA (5168)
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29/09/2015
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RM4.98
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TRIM
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RM3.80
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RM4.73
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-5.1%
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DSONIC (5216)
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29/09/2015
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RM1.45
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SELL
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RM1.20
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RM1.50
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+3.4%
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SUNCON (5263)
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30/09/2015
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RM1.15
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BUY
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RM1.40
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RM1.15
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0.0%
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SIGN (7246)
|
30/09/2015
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RM2.39
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Take Profit
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RM2.00
– 2.05
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RM2.46
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+2.9%
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VSI (6963)
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01/10/2015
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RM1.44
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TRIM
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RM1.20
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RM1.38
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-4.2%
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TEOSENG (7252)
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01/10/2015
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RM1.52
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ACCUMULATE
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RM2.30
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RM1.58
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+3.9%
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PERFORMANCE
ALERT
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STOCK
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Initiation dates
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Initiation price
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Target Price
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Action
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Returns
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AIRPORT (5014)
|
03/09/2015
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RM4.41
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RM5.58
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Take Profit
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+25.6%
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UZMA (7250)
|
04/09/2015
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RM1.73
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RM2.00
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Take Profit
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+15.6%
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UMWOG (5243)
|
28/09/2015
|
RM1.30
|
RM1.05
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Buy Back
|
-
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Performance
|
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Positive
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Negative
|
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Neutral
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