Friday, October 2, 2015

Morning Call | 2 October 2015


FLOWS
Friday, 2 October, 2015
BUY
WPRTS, RHBCAP
SELL
AXIATA, AIRPORT
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
IOICORP (1961)
02/10/2015
RM4.40
TRIM
-
IOI (RM4.40) – the ramp up in px which is either short-covering or quarterly rebalancing is an opportunity to fade this rally with IOI retracing 50% of its plunge from its all-time high & being overbought with rsi of 71%. IOI may not benefit from higher CPO prices as 75% of its plantation landbank in Sabah & Kalimantan, where the yield has been the worst hit by the drier-than-normal weather. Its 31% associate, Bumitama, also has 98% of its plantation land in Kalimantan. With the weakness of the MYR, its USD1.48b borrowings is also a concern. Valuation is expensive with forward PER of 25.9x vs 5-year average of 15.5x. Trim
(PT)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
GASMSIA (5209)
02/10/2015
RM2.48
TRIM
-
GasMsia (GMB) RM2.48 - staged against challenging fundamentals with the implementation of the Incentive-based regulation as early as Jan’16, GMB’s ROE may fall from the current 13% to <10%, yet it has rebounded sharply by 28% over the past month to the current formidable resistance band of 2.44 - 2.48. This band used to be a strong support which held its previous corrections for the 1st 7 months of the year before breaking down in Aug'15. Trading at premium valuation of 24x PER vs 5-year average of 21x coupled with negative to flat earnings growth for the next 3 forward FYs, the current rally is an opportunity to reduce exposure.
(PT)
 
 
 
 
Calls for  SEPT WEEK 4 OCT WEEK 1 2015
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
IOIPG (5249)
25/09/2015
RM1.89
SELL
1.60
RM1.99
+5.2%
QL (7084)
25/09/2015
RM4.01
TRIM
-
RM4.00
-0.3%
UMWOG (5243)
28/09/2015
RM1.30
TRIM
1.05
RM1.17
-10.0%
MMC (2194)
28/09/2015
RM2.15
SELL
RM1.80
RM2.15
0.0%
HARTA (5168)
29/09/2015
RM4.98
TRIM
RM3.80
RM4.73
-5.1%
DSONIC (5216)
29/09/2015
RM1.45
SELL
RM1.20
RM1.50
+3.4%
SUNCON (5263)
30/09/2015
RM1.15
BUY
RM1.40
RM1.15
0.0%
SIGN (7246)
30/09/2015
RM2.39
Take Profit
RM2.00 – 2.05
RM2.46
+2.9%
VSI (6963)
01/10/2015
RM1.44
TRIM
RM1.20
RM1.38
-4.2%
TEOSENG (7252)
01/10/2015
RM1.52
ACCUMULATE
RM2.30
RM1.58
+3.9%

 

 

PERFORMANCE ALERT
STOCK
Initiation dates
Initiation price
Target Price
Action
Returns
AIRPORT (5014)
03/09/2015
RM4.41
RM5.58
Take Profit
+25.6%
UZMA (7250)
04/09/2015
RM1.73
RM2.00
Take Profit
+15.6%
UMWOG (5243)
28/09/2015
RM1.30
RM1.05
Buy Back
-

 

Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral