Tuesday, April 7, 2015

Morning Call | 7 April 2015


FLOWS
Tuesday, 7 April, 2015
BUY
SIME, DIGI, SPSETIA
SELL
TENAGA, PCHEM, MAXIS
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
PUNCAK (6807)
07/04/2015
RM2.72
TRADING BUY
RM3.30
Following the Selangor Sultan's call for speedy resolution to the state's water issue between the Federal govt (FG) & the State govt (SG), and the subsequent more conciliatory statements by the Selangor MB & the Federal Minister for water, there is positive inertia for a near-term agreement. Puncak & Engtex are 2 of the better stocks to benefit from an impending deal.
 
Puncak (RM2.68) - the SPA signed with PASB in Nov'14 to sell its water assets for RM1.56 remains intact & is not affected by the current dispute although the signing of master agreement has to be completed between FG & SG before PASB can takeover the assets for RM1.56b cash. Puncak has also announced that the co will pay a special dividend of RM1.00/share from its cash proceeds (utilizing abt a third of the cash proceeds). The average SOP of 4 major houses with coverage of Puncak is RM4.13. Even applying a 20% discount would arrive a TP of RM3.30 (23% upside). Trading buy
(PT)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ENGTEX (5056) 
07/04/2015
RM1.02
ACCUMULATE
RM1.20
Stock is among the top 2 players in Malaysia (by mkt share) in an estimated RM5.4b pipe industry where the water distribution infrastructure has reached critical level with NRW averaging 37% & certain states >50% NRW. Engtex is a main beneficiary of any water deal that aims to improve water distribution. Valuation is supportive with historical FY14 6.7x PER & 0.69x p/bk even with existing environment before the anticipated boost in demand from any water deal. It is also trading at its support level of RM1.02/1.00 which has been successfully tested 3x over the last 1.5 yrs. Macd just turned positive late last week. Trading buy
(PT)
 
 
Calls for MARCH WEEK 4 APRIL WEEK 1 2015
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
TUNEINS (5230)
31/03/2015
RM1.99
ACCUMULATE
-
RM1.99
0.0%
GHLSYS (0021) 
31/03/2015
RM0.96
ACCUMULATE
-
RM1.08
+12.5%
AAX(5238)
1/04/2015
RM0.46
Trading BUY
RM0.52
RM0.45
-2.2%
VS (6963) 
1/04/2015
RM4.25
TRIM
-
RM4.01
-5.7%
PETDAG (5681)
2/04/2015
RM20.08
SELL
BB – RM17.50
RM20.50
+2.0%
SUPERMX (7106) 
2/04/2015
RM2.10
BUY
RM2.40
RM2.09
-0.4%
BJAUTO (5248)
3/04/2015
RM3.80
BUY
RM4.30
RM3.86 (ex)
+1.5%
MATRIX (5236) 
3/04/2015
RM2.73
BUY
RM3.00
RM2.86
+4.7%
EVERGRN (5101)
6/04/2015
RM1.16
TRIM
-
RM1.13
+2.6%
BSTEAD (2771) 
6/04/2015
RM4.50
ACCUMULATE
-
RM4.51
+0.2%

 

 

Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral