Monday, June 22, 2015

Morning Call | 19 June 2015



FLOWS
Friday, 19 June, 2015
BUY
MAXIS, MISC
SELL
TENAGA, GENTING
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
HAPSENG (3034)
19/06/2015
RM5.03
TAKE PROFIT
RM4.00
has outperformed over the last 12 mths, gaining 61% vs FBMEmas -8%. With technical indicators flashing overbought (rsi @ 78) coupled with potential negative divergences on the rsi & macd, it’s time to take profit. Its 1Q15 PBT was -14% yoy & 29% qoq - difficult op conditions in the plantation, fertilizer trading & trading divisions. With the sharp slowdown in domestic spending, there is downside risk in its other divisions – credit financing, automotive & especially ppty with reliance on the luxurious condominium sector. Last year’s record profit contributed substantially from ppty will pose a high hurdler for results ahead. Historical high valuations - FY14 p/bk 2.6x, PER 14.1x vs 5-yr average 1.2x & 9.1x. (PT)  
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ASTRO (6399) 
19/06/2015
RM2.97
BUY
RM3.40
current foreign liquidation of emg mkts, despite Astro’s strong 1Q16 results (core net profit +29%) provides buying opportunity. Its dominant mkt share & increasing operating leverage (as capex drops on absence of set-top box upgrades & lower content library capex) gives credence to its 3-yrs eps CAGR of 20% & potentially paying higher div yield than current cons FY1/16 & FY1/17 4.2% & 4.9% yield. Forex risk has been minimized with USD loan fully hedged & content costs 100% & 50% hedged for FY16 & Fy17 resp. With 64% penetration rate, a significant future growth catalyst is the home shopping biz which exhibited strong growth (+48% qoq) in 1Q16 results. It is also technically attractive as held support @ 2.88/90 on huge volume & close significantly above intraday low.  Buy (TP: RM3,40). (PT)
 
 
Calls for  JUNE WEEK 2 / WEEK 3 2015
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
TIMECOM (5031)
12/06/2015
RM6.58
TAKE PROFIT
BB – RM5.80
RM6.41
-2.6%
TAANN (5012) 
12/06/2015
RM3.91
ACCUMULATE
RM4.50
RM3.86
-1.3%
HOVID (7213)
15/06/2015
RM0.535
TAKE PROFIT
BB – RM0.47
RM0.505
-5.6%
BPURI (5932) 
15/06/2015
RM0.54
BUY
RM0.66
RM0.545
+0.9%
TAKAFUL (6139)
16/06/2015
RM4.17
SELL into Strength
BB – RM3.36
RM3.88
-7.0%
GAB (3255) 
16/06/2015
RM14.58
Switch
CARLSBRG
RM14.42
-1.0%
SHL (6017)
17/06/2015
RM3.23
BUY
RM4.00
RM3.20
-0.9%
SLP (7248) 
17/06/2015
RM1.21
Switch
TGUAN
RM1.41
+16.5%
HEVEA (5095)
18/06/2015
RM3.36
ACCUMULATE
RM4.00
RM3.38
+0.6%
SCGM (7247) 
18/06/2015
RM3.32
TRIM
BB – RM2.70
RM3.32
+0.0%


 


 


PERFORMANCE ALERT
STOCK
Initiation dates
Initiation price
Target Price
Action
Returns
GHLSYS (0021)
31/03/2015
RM0.96
RM1.15
Take Profit
19.7%
MATRIX (5236)
03/04/2015
RM2.73
RM3.12
Take Profit
14.2%
SKPETRO (5218)
15/04/2015
RM2.40
RM2.75
Take profit
14.5%
UNISEM (5005)
22/04/2015
RM2.60
BB – RM2.30
Trading buy
-
SKPRES (7155)
08/05/2015
RM0.845
RM1.10
Take profit
19.5%
TOPGLOV (7113)
08/06/2015
RM5.47
-
Trading Sell
-


 


Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral