Monday, November 16, 2015

Morning Call | 16 November 2015


FLOWS
Monday, 16 November, 2015
BUY
AXIATA
SELL
KLK, CIMB, PCHEM
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
UNISEM ()
16/11/2015
RM2.38
SELL into STR
RM2.38
The share price has risen c25% following our buy call in mid September. The strong USD during the quarter has helped group report better than expected 3Q15 results. Although near term prospects remain promising, we reckon most of the positives have been reflected, with valuation currently at more than 13x FY16, versus peers of c12-13x, it appears fairly valued, thus capping potential upside. Industry experts have turned more conservative on global semiconductor sales, to low single digit growth for 2015 & 2016. Meanwhile, management has guided for flat q-o-q topline growth in USD. There is also the concern that group could be affected by an inventory overhang. Moreover, any strength in the RM vis a vis the USD would negatively affect earnings. With RSI at 65, we propose a Sell into current strength.
(AK)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
MALAKOF(5264)
16/11/2015
RM1.65
         ACCUMULATE
RM1.96
The recent weakness in share price has brought valuation to an attractive 15X FY16. Management has allayed concerns that political issues would adversely impact the power generation industry. It also reiterated its growth strategy of pursuing M&A, and is open to both local and foreign assets, but added that this would not affect it’s 70% minimum dividend policy. Capex intensity should decline in 2016 upon commissioning of the Tanjung Bin Energy plant in March 2016, of which will likely drive earnings henceforth. Besides the appeal of strong cash flow & defensive earnings, the expected better earnings in 2H15, savings in finance cost (redemption of RM1.8b sukuk) and potential higher dividend payout are catalysts for the stock. Possible selling pressure from expiry of moratorium shares from its IPO on May 15, 2015 – Accumulate ( TP RM1.96 on 18x FY16).
(AK)
 
 
Calls for  NOV WEEK 1 WEEK 2 2015
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
SENDAI (5205)
6/11/2015
RM0.855
BUY
RM1.10
RM0.81
-5.3%
CARING (5245)
6/11/2015
RM2.05
                   SELL
 
RM2.00
-2.5%
SNTORIA(5213)
9/11/2015
RM0.91
 ACCUMULATE
RM1.20
RM0.905
-0.6%
HEVEA (5095)
9/11/2015
RM1.36
         ACCUMULATE
RM1.56
RM1.37
+0.7%
SCGM (7247)
11/11/2015
RM2.94
TAKE PROFIT
 
RM2.90
-1.4%
DIGI (6947)
11/11/2015
RM5.20
ACCUMULATE
RM6.00
RM5.08
-2.4%
AHEALTH (7090)
12/11/2015
RM3.75
ACCUMULATE
RM4.20
RM3.67
-2.2%
WEIDA (7111)
12/11/2015
RM1.94
                  TRIM
RM1.72
RM2.01
+3.6%
ENGTEX (5056)
13/11/2015
RM1.14
BUY on weakness
RM1.14
RM1.16
+1.7%
FLBHD (5197)
13/11/2015
RM2.49
                  TRIM
RM2.49
RM2.47
-0.9%

 

 

Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral